Q1 2025 Is Bullish – Crypto Piece
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Happy New Year to all our members! We’ve now officially entered 2025.
This is the year 4 for Bitcoin as marked in the chart below where each candle represents 1-year for Bitcoin.
As you can see, historically, year 4 has always ended in the green for Bitcoin.
If this holds true again, then 2025 is set to close at least above $93.4k region.
Bitcoin has held the $91.5k support level and its daily 55-EMA. It has also now reclaimed the daily 9 and 21-EMAs. The MACD is about to flip bullish and the RSI is fully reset after holding the 40 level. These are all very positive developments, suggesting more upside.
The next key level to break is the $104k resistance, which also nearly coincides with the daily Supertrend resistance level.
The key level to hold is still $91.5k and below that is the $88.6k region.
If Bitcoin can have a weekly close above the $104k level, then the next leg up is very likely in play.
The base case for Q1 2025 is the $119k region, which is also the 1.618 Fib extension of the recent consolidation range.
Then comes the 2.618 Fib extension around $136k, which is the next upside area of interest.
If things do get very wild, then the 3.618 Fib extension around $153k comes into play.
These might seem a lot, but they are quite realistic targets based on technical analysis.
Ethereum Analysis
Ethereum has now reclaimed the $3550 support level, which is a very positive development.
This is an important level to hold ideally, otherwise we risk a retest of the recent wick lows around $3100.
The next key level to break is the $4k level before a run at previous ATHs around $4.8k and then new ATHs.
We’re quite confident that Ethereum hits new ATHs in Q1 2025!
If you look at the last 2 post-halving years i.e., 2021 and 2017, Ethereum’s performance in Q1 of that year has been quite extraordinary.
All 3 months (Jan, Feb, and March) in 2021 and 2017 ended green for Ethereum.
While we don’t know if all 3 months in Q1 2025 will be green this time around, we’re pretty confident based on the data that Q1 2025 as a whole should be quite bullish for Ethereum.
In the next section, we’ll look at the Bitcoin Power Grid and Bitcoin Mayer Multiple that show that Bitcoin still has room to run-up.
We’ll also present our proprietary Cycle Forecasts for Bitcoin and Ethereum for January 2025 to help our members get a Timing Edge.
Then, we’ll shift our focus to the altcoin market and check when we can expect an altseason to occur next.
Lastly, we’ll cover the altcoin Cardano (ADAUSD), along with its Cycle Forecasts for Q1 2025, as a member request.
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