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Small Caps Just Triggered A Major Breadth Thrust - Quick Note

Small Caps Just Triggered A Major Breadth Thrust - Quick Note

This Signal Has Only Occurred 7 Times Since 1970s

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Cycles Edge
Jun 16, 2025
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Cycles Edge
Cycles Edge
Small Caps Just Triggered A Major Breadth Thrust - Quick Note
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In this article, we’re going to quickly cover a key signal that has just triggered for the US small caps sector.

Small-cap stocks have shown a big improvement in participation, with over 75% of Russell 2000 stocks now trading above their 50-day moving average.

This is an impressive rebound from a deeply oversold condition when fewer than 4% were above that level.

This surge indicates expanding market breadth and rising investor appetite for riskier segments of the equity market.

Such widespread participation across a diverse range of smaller, more economically sensitive companies typically occurs during the initial stages of a cyclical advance, signaling that the recovery is not limited to a narrow segment of the market but is instead gaining traction across a wider range of stocks.

As shown in the chart below, the Russell 2000 has delivered a 29% annualized return when more than 75% of its stocks are above their 50-day moving average.

In the next section, we’ll take a look at:

  1. All the past signals that have occurred since the 1970s

  2. A breakdown of small cap index returns across different timeframes following such a signal

  3. The performance of the S&P 500 after such a breadth thrust on small caps

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